Pending Home Sales Hit Second Lowest Level on Record

HomeHousing

Pending Home Sales Hit Second Lowest Level on Record

Pending gross sales fell 6% in December—the most important seasonally adjusted decline since 2022—amid stubbornly exc

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  • Pending gross sales fell 6% in December—the most important seasonally adjusted decline since 2022—amid stubbornly excessive housing prices and financial uncertainty.
  • The everyday house that did promote spent 60 days available on the market, the slowest December tempo in a decade.
  • The availability of properties on the market fell essentially the most since 2023 as sellers retreated amid sluggish demand.
  • The excellent news for consumers is mortgage charges have been falling and lots of sellers are providing concessions—the standard house that offered final month went for roughly 2% lower than its record value.

U.S. pending house gross sales declined 5.9% month over month in December to the bottom seasonally adjusted degree on report besides April 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic halted the housing market. Redfin’s information date again to 2012.

Pending Home Sales Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020 (Line chart)


December’s decline was the most important since September 2022. On a year-over-year foundation, pending gross sales fell 7.4%.

Homebuyers are skittish as a result of stubbornly excessive housing prices, layoffsand mounting financial and political uncertainty. Mortgage charges have come down in latest months however are nonetheless above 6%—greater than double the all-time low they fell to in the course of the pandemic. Costs are additionally excessive. The median house sale value rose 0.5% yr over yr in December to $428,742—the best December degree on report. Whereas that’s the slowest progress since June 2023, it’s nonetheless progress, and lots of homebuyers are priced out of the market.

Home-Price Growth Slows, But Prices Remain High (Line chart)


It’s value noting that mortgage charges did briefly
dip under 6% final week after President Trump ordered a $200 billion mortgage bond buy. That led to a jump in mortgage demand, which can enhance pending house gross sales in January.

“Patrons are extraordinarily selective and nonetheless assume costs are too excessive,” stated Alison Williamsa Redfin Premier actual property agent in Sacramento, CA. “There aren’t a ton of properties available on the market, however there are sufficient for home hunters to really feel like they’ll take their time. One problem is that many consumers’ purchases are contingent on the sale of their present property, and lots of sellers aren’t keen to take contingent affords. This has brought on a standstill out there.”

The everyday house that went underneath contract in December spent 60 days available on the market. That’s the slowest December tempo in a decade and is six days greater than a yr earlier.

Some consumers are additionally getting chilly toes on the eleventh hour; roughly 40,000 house purchases have been canceled in December, equal to 16.3% of properties that went underneath contract that month. That’s the best December share in information courting again to 2017.

New Listings Drop to Lowest Stage in Almost Two Years


New listings of properties on the market declined 1.4% month over month in December to the bottom seasonally adjusted degree since January 2024, and fell 4.9% yr over yr.

New Listings Drop to Lowest in Nearly Two Years (Line chart)


Lively listings fell 1.1% month over month—the most important seasonally adjusted decline since June 2023—and rose 3.9% yr over yr.

House sellers are retreating as a result of consumers are retreating. Many potential sellers are additionally out there for his or her subsequent house and will choose to not promote as a result of shopping for that subsequent house is just too costly.

“Breaking even is a win for house sellers in right this moment’s market. Some sellers who purchased previously 5 years are discovering themselves underwater after accounting for closing prices and commissions,” Williams stated. “Patrons see greenback indicators if a house is outdated, so sellers ought to be certain their properties are effectively maintained and supply a pre-inspection. When sellers comply with that recommendation, they’ve a greater likelihood of getting their record value and promoting their house shortly.”

In lots of circumstances, sellers are providing concessions and/or slicing their value to woo consumers. Patrons maintain the negotiating energy in most markets right this moment as a result of although sellers have been retreating, there are nonetheless far more sellers than consumers.

The everyday house that offered in December went for 1.8% lower than its last record value, the most important December low cost since 2022. Simply 22% of properties offered for extra than their last record value—the bottom December share since 2019.

December 2025 Housing Market Highlights: United States

December 2025 Month-over-month change Yr-over-year change
Median sale value $428,742 -1.0% 0.5%
Present-home gross sales, seasonally adjusted annual fee 4,290,826 0.0% 0.3%
Pending house gross sales, seasonally adjusted 457,538 -5.9% -7.4%
Properties offered, seasonally adjusted 435,735 0.8% -1.6%
New listings, seasonally adjusted 521,701 -1.4% -4.9%
Complete properties on the market, seasonally adjusted (energetic listings) 1,973,715 -1.1% 3.9%
Months of provide 2.8 -1.1 -0.1
Median days on market 60 7 6
Share of properties that offered above last record value 22.0% -2.3 ppts -2.2 ppts
Common sale-to-final-list-price ratio 98.2% -0.2 ppts -0.3 ppts

Pending gross sales that fell out of contract, as % of total pending gross sales

16.3% 2.0 ppts

1.4 ppts

Monthly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.19% -0.05 ppts

-0.53 ppts

December 2025 Metro-Stage Highlights


The figures under are based mostly on a listing of the 50 most populous U.S. metropolitan areas. Some metros could also be eliminated now and again to make sure information accuracy.
Discuss with our metrics definition page for explanations of metrics used on this report. Metro-level information usually are not seasonally adjusted. All modifications under symbolize year-over-year modifications.

  • Costs: Median sale costs rose most from a yr earlier in Detroit (8.9%), Newark, NJ (8%) and St. Louis (7.8%). They fell most in Dallas (-7.6%), Oakland, CA (-5.6%) and Austin, TX (-4.2%).
  • Pending house gross sales: Pending gross sales rose most in West Palm Seaside, FL (11.7%), Riverside, CA (6.7%) and Anaheim, CA (5%). They fell most in San Jose, CA (-34.6%), San Francisco (-18.7%) and Minneapolis (-18.4%).
  • Closed house gross sales: House gross sales rose most in West Palm Seaside (21.2%), Phoenix (13%) and Montgomery County, PA (12.8%). They fell most in San Jose (-14.5%), Detroit (-9.3%) and Philadelphia (-5.8%).
  • New listings: New listings rose most in San Francisco (4.5%), Boston (4.3%) and Montgomery County (3.2%). They fell most in San Antonio (-20.1%), Jacksonville, FL (-19.7%) and Tampa, FL (-17.2%).
  • Lively listings: Lively listings rose most in Boston (17%), Baltimore (16.1%) and Washington, D.C. (15.6%). They fell most in San Francisco (-20.9%), San Jose (-9.4%) and Jacksonville (-9.3%).
  • Days on market: In Houston, the standard house that went underneath contract did so in 79 days, which was 19 days longer than a yr earlier—the most important improve among the many metros analyzed. Subsequent got here San Antonio (+17 days), adopted by Fort Lauderdale and Newark (each +16 days). 4 metros noticed a lower in days on market: San Francisco (-8), San Jose (-6), Kansas Metropolis, MO (-3) and Milwaukee (-1).
  • Offered above record value: In Newark, 54.2% of properties offered above their last record value, the best share among the many metros analyzed. Subsequent got here Nassau County, NY (49.5%) and San Jose (46.8%). The bottom shares have been in West Palm Seaside (5.3%), Miami (6.3%) and Fort Lauderdale (6.4%).

December 2025 Full Metro-Stage Information

U.S. metro spaceMedian sale valueMedian sale value, Y/Y changePending gross sales, Y/Y changeProperties offered, Y/Y changeNew listings, Y/Y changeLively listings, Y/Y changeMedian days on marketMedian days on market, Y/Y change
Anaheim, CA$1,165,000 1.8%5.0%2.8%-5.2%3.0%558
Atlanta, GA$385,000 -2.3%-6.4%-1.2%-4.3%13.4%688
Austin, TX$431,277 -4.2%-5.1%3.2%-11.4%6.9%10615
Baltimore, MD$399,900 3.9%-6.5%-0.2%-0.9%16.1%448
Boston, MA$725,000 0.7%0.5%3.0%4.3%17.0%294
Charlotte, NC$412,000 4.3%N/A5.3%-4.7%10.4%7713
Chicago, IL$355,000 4.4%-7.8%2.0%-2.7%-5.3%610
Cincinnati, OH$302,342 5.4%-13.6%6.8%-8.7%7.8%506
Cleveland, OH$230,000 0.0%-5.9%8.8%0.5%3.9%351
Columbus, OH$340,000 3.0%-1.3%0.3%-14.3%8.1%597
Dallas, TX$390,000 -7.6%-0.1%2.3%-14.6%4.7%7711
Denver, CO$570,000 -0.9%-13.7%-2.3%-13.4%3.5%575
Detroit, MI$195,000 8.9%-11.0%-9.3%-2.9%15.4%364
Fort Lauderdale, FL$450,000 -0.8%2.3%4.6%-12.1%-2.6%9916
Fort Value, TX$350,000 -2.8%-1.0%-1.7%-0.7%-0.9%650
Houston, TX$335,000 0.0%-12.0%-0.9%-3.3%6.0%7919
Indianapolis, IN$310,000 1.6%-6.3%4.7%-12.3%9.0%397
Jacksonville, FL$370,000 -2.6%-1.5%-4.7%-19.7%-9.3%847
Kansas Metropolis, MO$337,473 3.4%N/A2.8%1.5%-0.8%38-3
Las Vegas, NV$445,000 1.4%-4.0%-1.4%-6.5%14.6%7214
Los Angeles, CA$890,000 -1.7%0.8%1.2%-1.7%3.5%609
Miami, FL$550,000 -3.5%2.5%-0.3%-11.4%1.2%9210
Milwaukee, WI$335,000 4.7%-5.6%0.0%-7.3%1.5%48-1
Minneapolis, MN$383,600 2.3%-18.4%2.4%-5.2%0.1%420
Montgomery County, PA$495,000 5.5%0.6%12.8%3.2%7.1%385
Nashville, TN$463,000 0.7%1.5%2.2%2.2%14.6%8613
Nassau County, NY$735,000 2.8%-7.3%-2.1%-4.5%-1.4%353
New Brunswick, NJ$560,000 3.7%-6.1%0.3%-1.2%2.8%486
New York, NY$780,000 5.4%2.4%-0.8%-6.7%3.2%606
Newark, NJ$610,000 8.0%4.1%-2.6%-1.2%14.6%4416
Oakland, CA$850,000 -5.6%-17.7%-1.1%-16.3%3.7%353
Orlando, FL$400,000 -1.2%-5.4%-4.6%-11.6%-1.5%634
Philadelphia, PA$286,500 2.3%-4.4%-5.8%-3.4%2.7%494
Phoenix, AZ$469,500 1.0%3.1%13.0%-0.9%5.8%686
Pittsburgh, PA$240,000 5.3%0.9%0.2%0.7%2.9%643
Portland, OR$545,000 1.2%-8.7%7.0%-9.4%4.2%558
Windfall, RI$500,000 4.4%-5.3%8.2%-1.1%4.7%343
Riverside, CA$585,000 0.0%6.7%1.7%-5.8%-2.2%617
Sacramento, CA$565,000 -3.4%-3.0%3.3%0.9%5.8%5113
San Antonio, TX$310,000 -1.6%1.1%1.0%-20.1%0.8%9917
San Diego, CA$900,000 2.3%2.5%2.6%3.0%4.9%425
San Francisco, CA$1,450,000 3.6%-18.7%11.7%4.5%-20.9%32-8
San Jose, CA$1,430,000 -3.9%-34.6%-14.5%-2.9%-9.4%25-6
Seattle, WA$790,000 0.0%-8.3%1.3%-10.9%15.3%4112
St. Louis, MO$275,000 7.8%N/A1.8%-0.5%7.8%340
Tampa, FL$385,000 1.3%-14.5%-3.7%-17.2%-0.7%637
Virginia Seaside, VA$367,100 3.4%2.0%11.6%-8.3%4.9%436
Warren, MI$318,000 6.0%-15.2%-3.8%-3.4%8.5%355
Washington, DC$575,000 4.6%-2.5%-5.8%-2.0%15.6%5513
West Palm Seaside, FL$509,500 1.9%11.7%21.2%-8.9%-5.7%876


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